Show HN: Exp. Smoothing is 32% more accurate and 100x faster than Neural-Prophet

We benchmarked on more than 55K series and show that ETS improves MAPE and sMAPE forecast accuracy by 32% and 19%, respectively, with 104x less computational time over NeuralProphet.


We hope this exercise helps the forecast community avoid adopting yet another overpromising and unproven forecasting method.



Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32500725


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